Forenzika izbora

Reading Time: 10 minutesAn analysis of the Politics section of Kurir.rs shows how two rhetorical frames, “Blockaders/Chaos” and “Vučić/Stability”, can be tracked as daily time series. ‘Where I stopped – you will go!’‘What I couldn’t – you will do!’‘Where I couldn’t – you’ll arrive!’‘Whatever we owe – you pay it off!’(Bright graves –…

Reading Time: 10 minutesAnaliza Kurir.rs rubrike Politika pokazuje kako se dva retorička okvira — „Blokaderi/Haos” i „Vučić/Stabilnost” — mogu pratiti kao dnevne vremenske serije. „Gde ja stadoh — ti ćeš poći!”„Što ne mogoh — ti ćeš moći!”„Kud ja nisam — ti ćeš doći!”„Što ja počeh — ti produži!”„Još smo dužni — ti oduži!”(Svetli…

Reading Time: 14 minutesPART II. Comparative analysis of the three leaders Introductory paragraph to Part II: from theory to comparative analysis If the first part showed that authoritarian, semi-authoritarian, and hybrid regimes do not need to abolish elections in order to seriously damage the equality of political competition, then the second part must…

Reading Time: 13 minutesDEO II. Uporedna analiza tri lidera Uvod u drugi deo: od teorijskog okvira ka uporednoj analizi Ako je u prvom delu pokazano da autoritarni, semi-autoritarni i hibridni režimi ne moraju ukidati izbore da bi ozbiljno narušili ravnopravnost političke utakmice, onda drugi deo treba da pokaže kako ti obrasci izgledaju u…

Reading Time: 9 minutesPART I. Introduction and theoretical framework Introductory note to Part I: why a theoretical framework matters for this kind of analysis Before moving to the comparison of Milošević, Putin, and Vučić, it is necessary to establish a clear theoretical framework. Without it, the analysis could easily slide into journalistic listing…

Reading Time: 8 minutesDEO I. Uvod i teorijski okvir Uvod u prvi deo: zašto je teorijski okvir važan za ovu vrstu analize Pre nego što se pređe na poređenje Miloševića, Putina i Vučića, potrebno je jasno postaviti teorijski okvir. Bez toga bi analiza lako skliznula u publicističko nabrajanje sličnosti ili u prebrzo izjednačavanje…

Reading Time: 12 minutes1. The comparative question Some countries publish election data in ways that make independent verification almost immediate. Others publish results, but in formats that require days of manual work before meaningful analysis can begin. Still others display results on attractive dashboards without allowing citizens, journalists or observers to download the…

Reading Time: 13 minutes1. Uporedno pitanje Neke zemlje objavljuju izborne podatke tako da nezavisna provera može da počne gotovo odmah. Druge objavljuju rezultate, ali u formatima koji zahtevaju dane ručnog rada pre nego što ozbiljna analiza uopšte može da počne. Treće prikazuju rezultate na atraktivnim internet-stranicama, ali građanima, novinarima i posmatračima ne omogućavaju…

Reading Time: 11 minutes1. Election data are democratic infrastructure Election results are often treated as the final line of an electoral process: votes are counted, winners are announced, complaints are filed or dismissed, and political life moves on. But in a modern democracy, the publication of election results is not merely an administrative…

Reading Time: 11 minutes1. Izborni podaci su demokratska infrastruktura Izborni rezultati se često posmatraju kao završna tačka izbornog procesa: glasovi su prebrojani, pobednici proglašeni, prigovori podneti ili odbačeni, a politički život nastavlja dalje. Međutim, u savremenoj demokratiji objavljivanje izbornih rezultata nije samo administrativna formalnost. Ono je deo demokratske infrastrukture. Građani, stranke, posmatrači, novinari,…