Forenzika izbora

Reading Time: 8 minutesDržava može napredovati u odnosu na sopstvenu prošlost, a ipak zaostajati za susedima. Može istovremeno imati jednu od najboljih izbornih administracija u regionu i gubiti pozicije u oblasti slobode medija, javne rasprave i širih uslova političke konkurencije. Zbog toga analiza pojedinačnih država iz prvog dela ove serije nije dovoljna. Da…

Reading Time: 9 minutesPart 2. From Emotion to Political Rhetoric: How the Speech Builds Its Message Is the speech positive or negative? A first look at the Bing sentiment dictionary produces an apparently surprising result. Of the words recognised by the lexicon, 197 are classified as positive and 144 as negative. That corresponds…

Reading Time: 8 minutesDeo 2. Od emocija do političke retorike: kako govor gradi svoju poruku Da li je govor pozitivan ili negativan? Bing rečnik sentimenta daje na prvi pogled neočekivan rezultat. Među rečima koje je rečnik uspeo da klasifikuje nalazi se 197 pozitivnih i 144 negativne. To znači 57,8% pozitivnih prema 42,2% negativnih…

Reading Time: 9 minutesAn election can be orderly without being fully democratic. Ballot papers may arrive on time, polling stations may open, votes may be counted correctly and official results may be published, yet citizens may still have been denied a genuinely equal opportunity to choose. One party may dominate television coverage. Public…

Reading Time: 7 minutesPart 1. From Words to Themes: Mapping the Vocabulary of a Political Speech Introduction: What can text analysis tell us about a political speech? Political speeches are designed not merely to transmit information. They construct stories, identify groups, assign responsibility, evoke emotions, recall selected episodes from the past and suggest…

Reading Time: 5 minutesIntroduction: why sentiment belongs to election forensics Election forensics is often associated with numbers: turnout, vote shares, invalid ballots, polling-station anomalies, unusual statistical patterns or inconsistencies between official databases and polling-station records. These are essential elements of electoral verification. However, election results are not produced only on election night. They…

Reading Time: 5 minutesUvod: zašto sentiment pripada izbornoj forenzici Kada se govori o izbornoj forenzici, najčešće se misli na analizu rezultata: izlaznost, glasove po biračkim mestima, nevažeće listiće, neobične obrasce u distribuciji glasova ili neslaganja između zapisnika i objavljenih podataka. To je važan, ali samo jedan deo slike. Izborni rezultat ne nastaje samo…

Reading Time: 6 minutesDeo 1. Od reči do tema: mapiranje rečnika političkog govora Uvod: Šta nam analiza teksta može reći o političkom govoru? Politički govor nije samo sredstvo za prenošenje informacija. Njime se grade priče, određuju grupe kojima pripadamo i one kojima ne pripadamo, pripisuje odgovornost, izazivaju emocije, biraju događaji iz prošlosti koje…

Reading Time: 8 minutesIzbori mogu biti uredno organizovani, a da ipak nisu u potpunosti demokratski. Glasački listići mogu stići na vreme, biračka mesta mogu biti otvorena, glasovi pravilno prebrojani, a rezultati objavljeni, dok građanima istovremeno nije omogućena stvarno ravnopravna mogućnost izbora. Jedna stranka može dominirati televizijskim programom. Zaposleni u javnom sektoru mogu strahovati…

Reading Time: 6 minutesIntroduction: election forensics begins before election night When election integrity is discussed, public attention usually focuses on election day and election night: whether polling stations opened on time, whether polling-station records were completed correctly, whether votes were counted accurately, and whether official results match independent estimates. These are essential questions….